“定制文献” 每日 邮件推送服务介绍（新） 来源公众号；社科文献速递
本期目录 01. Export side effects of wars on organized crime: The case of Mexico (出口战争打击有组织犯罪的副作用:墨西哥的情况) 02. Carbon pricing, border adjustment and climate clubs: Options for international cooperation (碳定价、边界调整和气候俱乐部:选择国际合作) 03. Exchange rate misalignment and external imbalances: What is the optimal monetary policy response? (汇率失调和外部失衡:最优货币政策的反应是什么?) 04. Increasing marginal costs, firm heterogeneity, and the gains from “deep” international trade agreements (边际成本增加,企业异质性,收益“深”国际贸易协定) 05. Capital flows and income inequality (资本流动和收入不平等) 06. Optimal redistributive policy in debt constrained economies (最优债务约束的经济再分配政策) 07. Trade reform, oligopsony, and labor market distortion: Theory and evidence (商品采购垄断贸易改革,劳动力市场扭曲:理论和证据) 08. Sectoral fiscal multipliers and technology in open economy (在开放的经济部门财政乘数和技术) 09. The local technology spillovers of multinational firms (当地的跨国公司的技术溢出效应) 10. Capacity building as a route to export market expansion: A six-country experiment in the Western Balkans (能力建设途径出口市场扩张:巴尔干半岛西部的六方实验) 11. Within firm supply chains: Evidence from India (在公司的供应链:证据来自印度) 12. The role of immigrants in the United States labor market and Chinese import competition (移民在美国劳动力市场的作用和中国进口的竞争) 13. Carbon taxes and the geography of fOSSil lending (碳排放税和地理的化石放贷) A b s t r a c t 「内容提要」（上下滑动） 01. Export side effects of wars on organized crime: The case of Mexico (出口战争打击有组织犯罪的副作用:墨西哥的情况) 作者：Jesús Gorrín, José Morales-Arilla, Bernardo Ricca 摘要：This paper finds that law enforcement interventions during the Mexican Drug War (MDW) hindered local export growth. We leverage exogenous variation in drug enforcement from the close election of mayors affiliated with the national ruling party during the MDW. Firms servicing the same markets but exogenously exposed to drug enforcement experienced lower export growth. The MDW decreased capital investments, eroding productivity gains in capital-intensive activities. (本文发现,执法干预在墨西哥的毒品战争(MDW)阻碍了当地出口增长。我们利用外生变化毒品管制从市长的选举在MDW隶属于国家执政党。公司服务相同的外部市场,但接触到毒品管制并且经验丰富的出口增长下降。MDW减少资本投资,削弱生产率增长在资本密集型活动。) 关键词：缺失 文章链接：https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0022199623000612 02. Carbon pricing, border adjustment and climate clubs: Options for international cooperation (碳定价、边界调整和气候俱乐部:选择国际合作) 作者：Anne Ernst, Natascha Hinterlang, Alexander Mahle, Nikolai Stähler 摘要：In a dynamic, three-region environmental multi-sector general equilibrium model, we find that carbon pricing generates a long-lasting downturn as production costs rise. Dirty production is shifted towards countries with laxer climate policies, known as carbon leakage. A border adjustment tax mitigates but does not prevent carbon leakage. Its impact on emissions is limited, and it mainly “protects” dirty domestic production sectors with tradeable goods (in relative terms). Benefits from lower emissions damage materialize only in the medium to long run. From the perspective of a region that introduces carbon pricing, the downturn is smaller and long-run benefits are larger if more regions participate. However, for non-participating regions, there is no incremental incentive to participate as they forego trade spillovers and face higher production costs along the transition. Because of the costly transition, average world welfare may fall as a result of global carbon pricing unless “the rich” assist “the poor”. (< span >在动态、三区环境多部门一般均衡模型,我们发现碳定价产生持久的衰退随着生产成本的上升。肮脏的生产转向宽松的气候政策的国家,被称为碳泄漏。边界调整税收降低但并不妨碍碳泄漏。对排放的影响是有限的,它主要是“保护”脏国内生产部门与可交易商品(相对而言)。受益于较低的排放破坏只实现中长期来看。从区域的角度,介绍了碳定价,经济衰退更小和长期效益更大如果更多地区的参与。然而,代表地区,没有增量的参与动机,因为他们放弃贸易溢出效应和沿过渡面临更高的生产成本。因为昂贵的过渡,世界平均福利可能会由于全球碳定价,除非“富人”帮助“穷人”。) 关键词：缺失 文章链接：https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0022199623000582 03. Exchange rate misalignment and external imbalances: What is the optimal monetary policy response? (汇率失调和外部失衡:最优货币政策的反应是什么?) 作者：Giancarlo Corsetti, Luca Dedola, Sylvain Leduc 摘要：How should monetary policy respond to excessive capital inflows that appreciate the currency and widen the external deficit? Using the workhorse open-macro model, we derive a quadratic approximation of the utility-based global loss function in incomplete market economies, and solve for the optimal targeting rules under cooperation. The optimal monetary stance is expansionary if the exchange rate pass-through (ERPT) on import prices is complete, contractionary if nominal rigidities attenuate ERPT. Excessive capital inflows, however, may lead to currency undervaluation instead of overvaluation for some parameter values. The optimal stance is then invariably expansionary to support domestic demand. (货币政策应该如何应对过度资本流入,人民币升值和扩大外部赤字吗?使用主力打开模型,我们得出一个基于用途的全球损失函数的二阶近似不完全市场经济,并求出最优目标规则下合作。最优货币政策是扩张性如果汇率直通(ERPT)进口价格完成,如果名义刚性减弱ERPT紧缩。然而,过度资本流入可能会导致汇率低估而不是高估一些参数值。最优姿态然后总是扩张性支持国内需求。) 关键词：缺失 文章链接：https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0022199623000570 04. Increasing marginal costs, firm heterogeneity, and the gains from “deep” international trade agreements (边际成本增加,企业异质性,收益“深”国际贸易协定) 作者：Jeffrey H. Bergstrand, Stephen R. Cray, Antoine Gervais 摘要：Two parameters are central to modern quantitative models of trade flows: the elasticity of substitution in consumption (<span class="mathmicroeconomic foundation for estimating all three parameters using the Feenstra methodology alongside a gravity equation. Third, we demonstrate the importance of increasing marginal costs for shallow and deep trade-agreement liberalizations using two counterfactual exercises. (< span >两个参数是现代贸易流的定量模型的核心:消费替代弹性(< span class = " mathmicroeconomic芬斯特拉基金会估计这三个参数的使用方法与一个重力方程。第三,我们展示的重要性增加边际成本为浅和深贸易协定自由化使用两个反事实的练习。)<="" p=""> 关键词：缺失 文章链接：https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0022199623000600 05. Capital flows and income inequality (资本流动和收入不平等) 作者：Zheng Liu, Mark M. Spiegel, Jingyi Zhang 摘要：We document empirical evidence that surges in capital inflows (outflows) raise (reduce) income inequality. We study the mechanism through which changes in capital flows and capital account policies can influence income distributions in a small open economy model. Our model features heterogeneous agents and financial frictions, with banks intermediating between household savings and entrepreneur investment. Inflow surges disproportionately raise entrepreneur income, exacerbating inequality, while increases in outflows boost the share of household income, alleviating inequality. Under capital-skill complementarity, capital account liberalization that induces net capital inflows raises both the skill wage premium and overall income inequality. These predictions are in line with our empirical evidence. (< span > < span >我们文档的实证证据表明,资本流入激增(流出)提高(降低)收入不平等。我们学习的机制,通过资本流动和资本账户政策的变化可以影响收入分配在一个小型开放经济模型。异构的代理人和金融摩擦模型特性,与银行之间的媒介家庭储蓄和企业家的投资。流入激增不成比例地提高企业家收入,加剧不平等,而流出的增加提高家庭收入的比例,减轻不平等。capital-skill互补下,资本账户自由化,导致净资本流入增加技能工资溢价和整体收入不平等。这些预测符合我们的经验证据。) 关键词：缺失 文章链接：https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0022199623000624 06. Optimal redistributive policy in debt constrained economies (最优债务约束的经济再分配政策) 作者：Monica Tran-Xuan 摘要：How should governments with a preference for redistribution design tax policies when facing limited borrowing? This paper studies optimal taxation in a small open economy with heterogeneous agents and endogenous debt constraints arising from the government's limited commitment to fiscal policies. The optimal labor tax decreases over time and is nonzero in the limit, and the optimal capital and domestic borrowing taxes are positive in the limit, deviating from the standard Ramsey tax results. The government's redistributive motive directly affects optimal tax levels, whereas binding debt constraints influence optimal tax dynamics. In the numerical analysis, a stronger redistributive preference requires greater initial tax distortions and a higher external debt level in the long run. (< span >政府应该如何设计倾向于再分配税收政策时面临有限的借款?本文研究最优税收与异构代理和一个开放的小型经济体产生的内源性债务约束政府有限的财政政策的承诺。最优劳动税收下降随着时间的推移和非零的极限,和最优资本和国内借贷税收是积极的在极限情况下,偏离标准的拉姆齐税的结果。政府的再分配动机直接影响最优税收水平,而债务约束最优税收影响动态绑定。在数值分析中,更强的再分配偏好需要更大的初始税收扭曲和长期外债水平更高。) 关键词：缺失 文章链接：https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0022199623000715 07. Trade reform, oligopsony, and labor market distortion: Theory and evidence (商品采购垄断贸易改革,劳动力市场扭曲:理论和证据) 作者：Hoang Pham 摘要：In a heterogeneous-firm model with oligopsonistic local labor markets, this paper shows that opening up to trade can affect distortion in such markets. The distortion arises because firms are large and able to exercise market power over their local workers. Using a panel dataset of Chinese manufacturing firms from 1998 to 2007, I measure firm-level labor market distortion and examine their evolution following China's trade policy reform in 2001. I find that labor market distortion is pervasive and the trade policy reform has led to a net reduction of the distortion in China's manufacturing sector, with a larger and significant effect working through the liberalization of input tariffs. (heterogeneous-firm模型与oligopsonistic当地劳动力市场,本文表明,贸易开放会影响畸变等市场。失真是因为公司大,能够对当地工人行使市场力。使用面板数据集的中国制造业公司从1998年到2007年,我测量公司级的劳动力市场扭曲和检查他们的进化后,2001年中国的贸易政策改革。我发现劳动力市场扭曲现象普遍,贸易政策的改革导致的净减少中国制造业的失真,与一个更大的和显著的影响通过输入关税的自由化。) 关键词：缺失 文章链接：https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0022199623000739 08. Sectoral fiscal multipliers and technology in open economy (在开放的经济部门财政乘数和技术) 作者：Olivier Cardi, Romain Restout 摘要：Our evidence reveals that the rise in real GDP is uniformly distributed across sectors following a government spending shock while labor growth is concentrated in non-traded industries. A rationale behind these two findings lies in technology which responds endogenously to the government spending shock. While technology improvements are concentrated in traded industries, technological change is biased toward labor (capital) in non-traded (traded) industries. To account for our evidence, we consider a semi-small open economy model with tradables and non-tradables where both capital and technology can be used more intensively. While financial openness amplifies the biasedness of the demand shock toward non-traded goods, labor mobility costs, imperfect substitutability between home- and foreign-produced traded goods and endogenous capital utilization are necessary conditions for giving rise to traded technology improvement. The model can reproduce the size of fiscal multipliers once we let technology adjustment costs together with factor-biased technological change vary across sectors. (我们的证据表明,实际GDP的增长是均匀地分布在各个行业在政府支出冲击而劳动力增长集中在非贸易行业。这两个发现背后的基本原理在于技术,从内部响应政府支出冲击。而技术改进主要集中在交易行业,技术变革是偏向劳动(资本)在非贸易行业(交易)。占我们的证据,我们认为semi-small开放的经济模型与贸易品和不可贸易资本和技术可以使用更加紧凑。在金融开放放大biasedness向非贸易商品的需求冲击,劳动力流动成本,不完美的家庭之间的可置换性,foreign-produced贸易商品和内源性资本利用率是必要的条件导致交易技术改进。模型能够重现财政乘数的大小一旦我们让技术调整成本连同factor-biased技术变革不同部门。) 关键词：缺失 文章链接：https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0022199623000752 09. The local technology spillovers of multinational firms (当地的跨国公司的技术溢出效应) 作者：Robin Kaiji Gong 摘要：This study examines how innovation by U.S. multinational firms affects the productivity of domestic Chinese firms in the same counties as the U.S. subsidiaries. After manually matching U.S. multinational firms with their manufacturing subsidiaries in China, I use citation-weighted patent stock to measure U.S.-produced external knowledge in Chinese counties and employ an instrumental variable strategy based on U.S. R&D tax credit policies to address potential endogeneity concerns. Findings suggest that innovation by U.S. multinational firms improves the productivity of domestic Chinese firms co-located with their subsidiaries, indicating a local technology spillover effect. Domestic firms with high-wage workers, high innovation capacity, and private ownership are better equipped to absorb these spillovers. In addition, domestic firms in industries with closer technological ties to U.S. multinational firms benefit more from their innovation, suggesting that technological proximity amplifies the spillover effect. (< span > < span >本研究检视美国跨国公司创新如何影响中国国内公司在同一个县的生产力随着美国子公司。后手动匹配美国跨国公司和他们的制造业子公司在中国,我使用citation-weighted股票衡量美国专利冲击波外部知识在中国的县和雇佣一个工具变量的策略基于美国的研发税收抵免政策,以解决潜在的内生性问题。发现表明,美国跨国公司创新提高中国国内企业的生产力与其他子公司,表明当地的技术溢出效应。国内企业高薪的工人,高创新能力,私有制是能更好地吸收这些溢出效应。此外,国内企业与美国关系紧密的技术行业跨国公司从他们的创新获益更多,这表明技术距离放大了溢出效应。) 关键词：缺失 文章链接：https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0022199623000764 10. Capacity building as a route to export market expansion: A six-country experiment in the Western Balkans (能力建设途径出口市场扩张:巴尔干半岛西部的六方实验) 作者：Ana P. Cusolito, Ornella Darova, David McKenzie 摘要：The limited market size of many small emerging economies is a key constraint to the growth of innovative small and medium enterprises. Exporting offers a potential solution, but firms may struggle to locate and appeal to foreign buyers. We conducted a six-country randomized experiment with 225 firms in the Western Balkans to test the effectiveness of 30 h of live group-based training and 5 h of one-on-one remote consulting in overcoming these constraints. Treated firms used techniques such as search engine optimization and improved Facebook content to increase their digital presence and better reach foreign customers. A year later, we find positive and significant impacts on the number of customers, and a significant intensive margin increase in export sales. Qualitative interviews suggest this improvement came from a combination of sector-specific advice on market expansion, and through an encouragement effect which gave entrepreneurs the confidence to try new sales strategies. (市场规模有限的许多小型新兴经济体是一个关键的约束创新型中小企业的发展。出口提供了一个潜在的解决方案,但公司可能难以定位和吸引外国买家。我们进行了六方随机实验与225家公司在巴尔干半岛西部测试的有效性30 h组的训练和生活5 h一对一远程咨询在克服这些限制。对待公司使用的技术,如搜索引擎优化和改进的Facebook内容增加数字存在和更好的达到外国客户。一年后,我们发现正向且显著影响客户的数量,和密集的出口销售利润增加。定性采访表明这种改进来自结合具体行业市场扩张,建议和通过鼓励效应使企业家的信心尝试新的销售策略。) 关键词：缺失 文章链接：https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0022199623000806 11. Within firm supply chains: Evidence from India (在公司的供应链:证据来自印度) 作者：Shresth Garg, Pulak Ghosh, Brandon Joel Tan 摘要：There are competing theories on whether vertical ownership is motivated by the transfer of physical inputs or the transfer of intangibles. Using administrative data on the universe of goods shipments in Karnataka, India, we show that the supply of goods along the production chain is an important rationale for vertical integration. First, we develop and estimate a gravity model of input sourcing, and find that: (1) establishments have a strong preference for sourcing their physical inputs from suppliers within the same firm relative to other frictions such as distance and state borders, and (2) the share of within-firm trade would be near 2% absent this preference for internal suppliers. Next, we compare this to the data and find that 38% of products are sourced by establishments exclusively from within the firm when a vertically integrated supplier exists; an order of magnitude higher than our 2% benchmark. Finally, we validate that within-firm sourcing is associated with determinants of physical supply chain transaction costs such as product specificity and R&D investment. (有竞争理论是否垂直所有权是出于物理输入或转让无形资产的转移。使用管理宇宙的商品出货量数据在卡纳塔克邦,印度,我们表明,商品的供应产业链垂直整合是一个重要的理由。首先,我们开发和评估一个重力模型的输入采购,并发现:(1)机构强烈地倾向于采购从供应商在同一物理输入公司相对于其他摩擦,如距离和国家边界,和(2)于固定贸易中所占份额将缺席近2%偏好内部供应商。接下来,我们比较的数据,发现38%的产品是由专门机构采购在公司当一个垂直整合的供应商存在;一个数量级高于2%的基准。最后,我们验证于固定采购与物理供应链交易成本的决定因素如产品特异性和研发投资。) 关键词：缺失 文章链接：https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S002219962300079X 12. The role of immigrants in the United States labor market and Chinese import competition (移民在美国劳动力市场的作用和中国进口的竞争) 作者：Chan Yu 摘要：Research has shown a limited labor mobility response to trade shocks. However, existing studies of aggregate mobility may miss important heterogeneity. This paper proposes a mechanism through which local labor markets adjust to trade shocks, namely immigrant mobility. I find a relative decline in the immigrant population in areas more exposed to import growth from China. An interquartile increase in Chinese import exposure decreases the immigrant population by 5.4% but has little effect on the native population. Additionally, immigrant mobility mitigates the effects of trade shocks on native labor outcomes. The present study shows that natives in areas with more immigrants experience smaller declines in employment relative to areas with fewer immigrants. (研究表明有限的劳动力流动贸易冲击的响应。然而,现有的研究总体流动性可能会因此错过重要的异质性。提出了一个机制,通过这个机制,当地劳动力市场调整贸易冲击,即移民流动。我找到一个相对衰落的移民人口的地区更容易受到来自中国的进口增长。四分位增加中国进口曝光减少移民人口的5.4%,但对土著人口几乎没有影响。此外,移民流动减轻了贸易冲击对本地劳动力的影响结果。目前的研究表明,原住民地区有更多的移民经验的较小的下降,就业相对比较少的地方移民。) 关键词：缺失 文章链接：https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0022199623000788 13. Carbon taxes and the geography of fossil lending (碳排放税和地理的化石放贷) 作者：Luc Laeven, Alexander Popov 摘要：Using data on syndicated loans, we find that the introduction of a carbon tax is associated with a decline (increase) in bank lending to coal, oil, and gas companies in domestic (foreign) markets. This manifestation of tax arbitrage is particularly pronounced for banks with large fossil-lending exposures, suggesting a role for bank specialization. Lending to private companies in foreign markets increases relatively more, implying bank incentives to avoid public scrutiny. We also find that banks reallocate a relatively larger share of their fossil loan portfolio to countries with less strict environmental regulation and bank supervision. (使用银团贷款数据,我们发现,引入碳税与银行贷款的减少(增加)煤炭、石油和天然气公司在国内(国外)市场。这种税收套利的表现尤其明显与大型银行fossil-lending曝光,建议银行专业化的角色。贷款给私营企业在国外市场相对增加,这意味着银行激励机制,以避免公众监督。我们还发现,银行重新分配相对较大比例的化石贷款组合环境监管和银行监管不那么严格的国家。) 关键词：缺失 文章链接：https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0022199623000831 今日（2023-08-02）补充信息 今日有更新期刊： 《AEJ:pol》：August 2023 (Vol. 15, No.3 ) 《JIE》：Volume 144, September 2023 《JAE》：Volume 76, Issue 1, August 2023 《科学学与科学技术管理》：2023年, 第44卷, 第07期 《社会保障研究》：2023年03期 公众号未发布期刊新文献资料在 “文献交流群” 中直接发送文档，以减少每日工作量，欢迎大家入群，提意见! 公众号后台回复：文献交流群 获取入群规则 定制文献追踪服务：由于监测的范围较广，每日更新的文章信息较多，而科研工作者一般有自己关注领域的文章，本公众号可以提供 根据给定的关键词筛选每日更新的文章，并将定制的文章信息发送至订阅者邮箱，具体可见：每日 “定制主题” 新文献邮件推送服务（新）（ 邮件推送示例； 期刊监测范围；） 按照 1元/月/关键词 的标准累计收取（若订阅时长超过一年，按照10元/年/关键词；120元/3年/不限关键词；200元/永久/不限关键词） 欢迎添加微信：“ NewLiterature_6 ”咨询沟通 上一篇：铝土矿液对聚合物膨润土GCLs的聚合物洗脱及渗透系数 下一篇：CCS Chemistry 2023年第8期上线 |
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